Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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State Rank #41
New Haven Semi-State Rank #9
West Noble Regional Rank #4
Northrop Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 22nd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 40.5%
Advance to Semi-State 70.9%
Advance to Regional 97.0%

RankNameGradeRating
75  David Ehlers 11 16:27
242  Jacob Panning 11 17:01
Ben Strasen 11 17:28
Jon Adair 12 17:33
Noah Sheaffer 11 17:33
Nathaniel Witmer 10 17:45
Jimmie Mallers 12 18:00
Matthew Ruppert 9 18:02
Jack Adair 11 18:10
Alex Amaro 10 18:17
DateRace Rating
08/23 Huntington North Invitational 461
08/30 DeKalb Invitational 526
09/13 Bruin Invitational 508
09/20 New Prairie Invitational (AA) 692
09/20 New Prairie Invitational (Fr/So)
09/27 Culver Academies Invitational (Elite) 468
10/04 Summit Athletic Conference 513
10/11 Northrop Sectional 478
10/18 West Noble Regional 487
10/25 New Haven Semi-State 490




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 40.5% 21.6 526 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.7 4.4 6.5 8.8 8.6 6.7
Semi-State 70.9% 6.1 197 5.0 8.1 9.7 9.1 8.6 8.5 7.5 5.8 4.6 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0
Regionals 97.0% 4.4 131 18.1 22.4 17.6 12.8 10.1 7.2 5.2 3.6
Sectionals 100% 3.0 97 43.9 28.3 17.1 7.6 2.8 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
David Ehlers 66.7% 65.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 43.9% 60.1%
Jacob Panning 40.6% 131.4 0.0% 0.3%
Ben Strasen 40.5% 169.1 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Adair 40.5% 174.1 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Sheaffer 40.5% 174.7 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Witmer 40.5% 189.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jimmie Mallers 40.5% 199.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
David Ehlers 99.9% 16.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.3 3.7 4.3 6.1 6.4 6.6 7.8 7.6 7.1 7.0 6.1 5.3 4.7 4.2 3.2 2.8 2.3 99.8% 99.9%
Jacob Panning 77.2% 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 21.8% 52.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
David Ehlers 100% 9.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.9 8.4 11.6 14.1 14.3 12.3 10.2 8.0 5.6 3.9 2.5 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Jacob Panning 100% 22.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.5 3.8 4.9 5.7 6.6 7.4 8.1 7.5 7.3 6.9 6.0 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
David Ehlers 6.9 0.1 0.9 3.9 9.2 15.8 22.0 21.2 14.2 6.7 3.2 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Jacob Panning 13.5 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.5 8.0 11.8 14.8 16.3 13.5 10.1 6.9 4.4 3.0 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2